MLB Home Run Predictions Today: HR Prop Bets for Saturday, May 16
It's a "Swing-for-the-Fences Saturday," and the long-ball setups are everywhere on this slate. A few pitchers are bringing serious fly-ball problems into dangerous matchups, while several power bats are walking into perfect spots to do damage.
We have Ketel Marte heading into Coors Field against a fly-ball-heavy pitcher with homer issues, Willy Adames facing a starter he's already taken deep with strong road splits against righties, and Kyle Schwarber continuing his home run tear against a pitcher who's been giving up long balls consistently. If you're chasing home run props Saturday, these are bats with serious moonshot potential.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.
Best Home Run Props Today
Ketel Marte Home Run Bet (+287)
Marte at Coors Field against a fly-ball pitcher feels like a pretty good recipe for a home run Saturday. Marte has always hit well in Colorado with nine career bombs there, and all five of his home runs this season have come against righties. Tomoyuki Sugano has already allowed nine home runs this year and gives up plenty of fly balls, which is dangerous in that ballpark. Feels like a great setup for Marte to leave the yard.
Willy Adames Home Run Bet (+630)
Adames feels like a fun home run target Saturday against Luis Severino. He's already taken Severino deep before and has solid numbers against him overall. All three of Adames' home runs this season have come against righties and on the road, which fits perfectly here. Severino has also been much shakier at home, where he's allowed five of his six home runs this year. With Adames continuing to hit the ball hard, this feels like a good spot for another bomb.
Kyle Schwarber Home Run Bet (+1200)
Schwarber going deep almost feels automatic at this point, and Saturday sets up nicely against Bubba Chandler. Schwarber already leads baseball with 20 home runs, and most of that damage has come against righties. Chandler has also been giving up more long balls lately, with all six home runs he's allowed coming over his last six starts. Since lefties have already taken him deep four times, this feels like another really solid spot for a Schwarber moonshot.
2026 MLB HR Leaders
- DH Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (20)
- OF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (16)
- OF Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (15)
- 1B Munetaka Murakami, Chicago White Sox (15)
- DH Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (14)
- 1B Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves (14)
- 1B Ben Rice, New York Yankees (14)
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This story was originally published May 16, 2026 at 4:30 AM.