MLB Home Run Predictions Today: HR Prop Bets for Saturday, May 2
It's a "Swing-for-the-Fences Saturday," and the board is loaded with hitters in prime spots to do damage. With shaky pitching and power bats heating up, this slate has all the ingredients for a long-ball showcase.
We have Pete Alonso heating up in a prime matchup against a pitcher getting crushed by righties, Ian Happ facing an arm giving up loud contact and plenty of fly balls, and Liam Hicks riding a hot streak into a matchup against a struggling young pitcher. If you're hunting homers, these are bats built to go yard.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.
Best Home Run Props Today
Pete Alonso Home Run Bet (+412)
Momentum could be building for Alonso after going deep Friday, and the matchup Saturday against Ryan Weathers lines up well. While all five of Alonso's home runs this season have come against right-handers, and Weathers, a lefty, has been getting hit hard by right-handed batters, allowing five home runs in his last three starts. With a high fly-ball and hard-hit profile, this is a spot where Alonso's power can show up again.
Ian Happ Home Run Bet (+457)
A power spot is shaping up for Happ against Ryne Nelson on Saturday. Happ leads the Cubs with seven home runs and has already homered off Nelson in limited at-bats. Nelson has struggled with a 7.71 ERA and has allowed six home runs in just 25.2 innings. He's giving up loud contact with high fly-ball and hard-hit rates, making him vulnerable. This matchup lines up well for Happ to tap into his power again.
Liam Hicks Home Run Bet (+810)
A hot stretch at the plate has Hicks in a great spot Saturday against Andrew Painter. Hicks has homered in two of his last three games and leads the Marlins in home runs, while hitting .367 at home. Over the last 15 days, he's batting .324 with three home runs. Painter has struggled on the road with an 8.38 ERA and a .400 average allowed, giving up a home run in each of his last two starts.
2026 MLB HR Leaders
- 1B Munetaka Murakami, Chicago White Sox (13)
- RF Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (12)
- DH Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (12)
- LF Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (11)
- 1B Ben Rice, New York Yankees (11)
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This story was originally published May 2, 2026 at 4:30 AM.