Letter: Glacier melt doesn't prove climate change

August 18, 2013 

Concerning a column in the Tri-City Herald (Aug. 13) "Namesakes of Glacier National Park melting before our eyes" by Jonathan Martin of the Seattle Times.

Martin indicated that in a recent trip through Glacier National Park he felt like, "... being [a] witness to an execution" (referring to receding glaciers). He blames man-made climate change and flat-Earth climate deniers. He says if we delay action warming will be "locked-in." If we don't act we will reap the untold costs coping with super-charged storms, drought and the collapse of land and sea ecosystems. He says a carbon tax will fix it.

So, let's see if I have this straight. Based on a climate prediction computer calculation, we need to give the government in the form of a carbon tax $1 trillion (the cost of Katrina, NASA Space Program, The New Deal and the Vietnam War combined) to avoid the above catastrophes and return glaciers to Glacier National Park? In January 2010 in Colorado there was an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Control Expert Meeting on climate projection models. In one paper, Carl Mears stated concerning reducing prediction uncertainty, "Finally I mention the danger of false certainty -- do we know which is more dangerous for our future -- deep uncertainty about climate change or false certainty about it? As Mark Twain stated, 'It ain't what you don't know that gets you in trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so.' ''


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